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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Referencia U20 - Bragantino U20

Futbol
Referencia U20
Referencia U20
1 : 4
Finished
Bragantino U20
Bragantino U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Referencia U20 - Bragantino U20 July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bragantino U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 7.90 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 18.8%
1 6.0%
X 10.7%
2 83.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Paulista U20 - 1st Stage - Grupo 3

Team stats

Referencia U20
LLDLWDLLDL
W 1 • D 3 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.7
15 place, 0 pts
Bragantino U20
WDWWWWWLWW
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.9 : 1.5
8 place, 3 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Referencia U20 1, draws 2, Bragantino U20 0 (goals 5:4)
  • RB Bragantino/Sp Youth — Referência FC Youth2025-05-24 2:2
  • RB Bragantino/Sp Youth — Referência FC Youth2024-08-10 1:2
  • Referência FC Youth — RB Bragantino/Sp Youth2024-06-23 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Referencia U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Bragantino U20
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 3)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

  Referencia U20 Bragantino U20
Over 2.5 — 67%
Average total — 3.83
Both teams to score (BTTS) — 50%
Matches counted — 6

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Referencia U20 - Bragantino U20

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 7.90 Fonbet · line only
1 8.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.50 66.7% 1.88 53.2%
yes 2.45 40.8% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.50 13.3%
X 2.57 38.9%
1.70 58.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Referencia U20
L D L
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Referencia U20 1:2 Gremio Prudente U20Gremio Prudente U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Referencia U20 1:1 Ituano U20
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Referencia U20 1:2 Agua Santa U20Agua Santa U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Bragantino U20
W L
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Bragantino U20 3:1 Flamengo SP U20Flamengo SP U20
31.05 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Bragantino U20 0:1 Sfera U20Sfera U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points