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Brazil. U20. Paulista
Brazil. U20. Paulista
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U20. Paulista

Santo Andre U20 - Sao Jose SP U20

Football
Santo Andre U20
Santo Andre U20
- : -
Not started
Sao Jose SP U20
Sao Jose SP U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Santo Andre U20 — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Santo Andre U20): model 48% · market 52% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santo Andre U2049.4%
X · draw21.2%
2 · Sao Jose SP U2029.3%

Model estimate: win Santo Andre U20 49.4%, draw 21.2%, win Sao Jose SP U20 29.3%. Model favourite — Santo Andre U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santo Andre U20 - Sao Jose SP U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Santo Andre U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.66 / 2 3.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 52.0%
X 24.9%
2 23.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Santo Andre U20 2 : 1 Sao Jose SP U20
12.00
X3.54
23.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Santo Andre U20 - Sao Jose SP U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santo Andre U20 51.4% 49.4% market and model agree
Draw 24.8% 21.2% draw risk
Sao Jose SP U20 23.9% 29.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.4% / 21.2% / 29.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,566 / 1,452 Santo Andre U20 / Sao Jose SP U20
RD 201 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,164-1,968 / 1,103-1,800 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.94 market consensus · no value · model 29.3%
X 3.66 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.65 60.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.27 44.1%
X 2.21 45.3%
4.58 21.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.09 47.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.35 42.6%
1.50 66.7%
Match center
Santo Andre U20
D W W W L
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Santo Andre U20 2:2 Novorizontino U20Novorizontino U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Santo Andre U20 71:63 Bandeirante U20Bandeirante U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Santo Andre U20 3:1 Paulinense U20Paulinense U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Santo Andre U20 1:0 San-Bernardo U20San-Bernardo U20
11.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Santo Andre U20 3:4 Osasco Sporting U20Osasco Sporting U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
16.0 Scored
14.0 Conceded
10 Points
Sao Jose SP U20
D L W W D
24.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Jose SP U20 1:1 San-Bernardo U20San-Bernardo U20
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Jose SP U20 0:2 Desportivo U20Desportivo U20
10.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Jose SP U20 71:63 Aguai U20Aguai U20
03.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Jose SP U20 2:0 San-Kaetano U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Sao Jose SP U20 0:0 Novorizontino U20Novorizontino U20
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
14.8 Scored
13.2 Conceded
8 Points