Brazil: Paulista Women Standings
Palmeyras (Zh) - Korintians (Zh)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Palmeyras (Zh) — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Palmeyras (Zh)): model 55% · market 40% Δ +15 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Palmeyras (Zh) 75.8%, draw 14.1%, win Korintians (Zh) 10.0%. Model favourite — Palmeyras (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Palmeyras (Zh): probability 71% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Palmeyras (Zh) - Korintians (Zh) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.23 / 2 2.91
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Palmeyras (Zh) - Korintians (Zh)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.93 34.1% | |
| X | 2.02 49.5% |
| 3.65 27.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.77 56.5% |
San-Paulu (Zh)
Korintians (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyPalmeyras (Zh) - Korintians (Zh)
Match history
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The Palmeyras (Zh) - Korintians (Zh) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form