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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

30.07.2026 20:30 UTC

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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Korintians - Atletico Paranaense

Football

Korintians

- : -

Not started

Atletico Paranaense

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Korintians — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Korintians): model 53% · market 48% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Korintians48.9%

X · draw28.8%

2 · Atletico Paranaense22.3%

Model estimate: win Korintians 48.9%, draw 28.8%, win Atletico Paranaense 22.3%. Model favourite — Korintians.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Korintians (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 60%

• Model backs Korintians: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korintians - Atletico Paranaense July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Korintians.

Line favourite market consensus: Korintians. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.22 / 2 4.21
1X2 market: Korintians 48.4% / X 29.2% / Atletico Paranaense 22.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 48.5%

X 29.2%

2 22.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Korintians 1 : 1 Atletico Paranaense

11.95

X3.29

24.46

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 20:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Korintians 49%

💹 Market Korintians 4844%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Korintians - Atletico Paranaense

Football, Korintians - Atletiko Paranaense, 31 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Korintians - Atletiko Paranaense, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Brazil po futbolu (Seriya A) 2026, 21 round.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Korintians 48.7% 48.9% market and model agree

Draw 29.3% 28.8% draw risk

Atletico Paranaense 22.1% 22.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 48.9% / 28.8% / 22.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,784 / 1,610 Korintians / Atletico Paranaense

RD 241 / 286 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,302-2,266 / 1,038-2,182 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.22 market consensus · no value · model 22.3%

X 3.22 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 48.9%

Double chance

12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 71.2%

1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 77.8%

X2 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 51.1%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.36 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.68 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.26 30.7%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.13 32.0%
	4.30 23.3%	4.42 22.6%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.68 59.5%
yes	2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%
x2	1.81 55.3%	1.81 55.3%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	7.00 14.3%
0_1	7.50 13.3%
0_2	17.00 5.9%
0_3	51.00 2.0%
1_0	4.75 21.1%
1_1	5.50 18.2%
1_2	12.00 8.3%
1_3	34.00 2.9%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	15.00 6.7%
2_3	46.00 2.2%
2_4	126.00 0.8%
3_0	13.00 7.7%
3_1	13.00 7.7%
3_2	29.00 3.5%
3_3	71.00 1.4%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-2-1, avg 2.22 gls

2026-02-19 · Korintians 1:0 Atletiko Paranaense

2025-09-11 · Korintians 2:0 Atletiko Paranaense

2025-08-28 · Korintians 1:0 Atletiko Paranaense

2024-10-17 · Korintians 5:2 Atletiko Paranaense

2024-06-23 · Korintians 1:1 Atletiko Paranaense

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.93 (Betcity) · X 3.35 (Winline) · 2 4.4 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.9	3.3	4.3
Winline	1.91	3.35	4.4
Fonbet	1.9	3.3	4.3
Betcity	1.93	3.3	4.1
Liga Stavok	1.84	3.35	4.4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Korintians

D W

26.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Korintians 1:1 Baiya

23.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Korintians 3:0 Remo

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.5 Conceded

4 Points

Atletico Paranaense

W D

25.07 19:30 UTC Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Atletico Paranaense 2:0 Internasonal

22.07 22:30 UTC Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Atletico Paranaense 2:2 San-Paulu

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKorintians - Atletico Paranaense

Korintians

0 matches total

Atletico Paranaense

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Korintians

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Atletico Paranaense

20 Games 20

7 Wins 11

7 Draws 3

6 Losses 6

22 Scored 28

20 Conceded 19

28 Points 36

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

13.86 Shots on goal 13.14

3.5 Shots on target 4.55

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Korintians Atletiko Paranaense 20 Games 20 7 Wins 11 7 Draws 3 6 Losses 6 22 Scored 28 20 Conceded 19 28 Points 36 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.86 Shots on goal 13.14 3.5 Udary v stvor 4.55 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.4 Uglovye 4.95 1.75 Offsaydy 1.45 13.85 Foly 13.9 53.4 % vladeniya myachom 46.9 2.55 Warnings 2 0.2 Sendoffs 0.1

Udalenie Khalka pomozhet?

Vryad li!

«Korintians» — «Liverpul».

Yuri Alberto khochet prodolzheniya «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Alyansa Lima».

Vitor Roke odnoy nogoy v «Barselone» «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Korintians».

Korintians Atletiko Paranaense 20 Games 20 7 Wins 11 7 Draws 3 6 Losses 6 22 Scored 28 20 Conceded 19 28 Points 36 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.86 Shots on goal 13.14 3.5 Udary v stvor 4.55 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.4 Uglovye 4.95 1.75 Offsaydy 1.45 13.85 Foly 13.9 53.4 % vladeniya myachom 46.9 2.55 Warnings 2 0.2 Sendoffs 0.1 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Dorival Zhunior Fernando Dinis Glavnye trenery Odair Ellmann Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 50% 25% 25% Double chance 38% 37% 25% Materialy po prognozam «Atletiko Mineyro» — «Korintians». Udalenie Khalka pomozhet? Vryad li! «Korintians» — «Liverpul». Yuri Alberto khochet prodolzheniya «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Alyansa Lima». Vitor Roke odnoy nogoy v «Barselone» «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Korintians». Yuri Alberto rasteryal formu «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Libertad». Vitor Roke priblizitsya k «Barselone» «Korintians» — «Atletiko Mineyro». Yuri Alberto ne konkurent Khalku «Atletiko Mineyro» — «Atletiko Paranaense». Khalk neuderzhim «Atletiko Paranaense» — «Atletiko Mineyro». Khalk derzhit planku CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1