Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Mirassol - Remo
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mirassol — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mirassol): model 50% · market 56% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mirassol 54.9%, draw 25.3%, win Remo 19.8%. Model favourite — Mirassol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Mirassol: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mirassol - Remo July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.70 / 2 5.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Mirassol - Remo
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What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.08 48.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.27 44.1% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.91 52.4% |
Vasko da Gama
Vitoriya
Korintians
San-Paulu
Full head-to-head historyMirassol - Remo
Match history
Mirasol Remo 19 Games 20 5 Wins 5 Draws 6 9 Losses 9 21 Scored 23 26 Conceded 32 20 Points 21 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11.57 Shots on goal 9.33 4.74 Udary v stvor 3.8 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.58 Uglovye 4.4 1.11 Offsaydy 1.6 12 Foly 11.4 50.47 % vladeniya myachom 43 2.58 Warnings 1.9 0.11 Sendoffs 0.15 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 0% 0% 100% Double chance 0% 50% 50% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1292166' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form