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Brazil - Seriya D
Brazil - Seriya D Brazil
06.05.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil - Seriya D

Brazil

Moto Klub de Sao Luis - Sampayo Korrea

Brazil Football
Moto Klub de Sao Luis
Moto Klub de Sao Luis
1 : 0
Finished
Sampayo Korrea
Sampayo Korrea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moto Klub de Sao Luis - Sampayo Korrea May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Moto Klub de Sao Luis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 6.40 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 45.0%
1 62.7%
X 10.8%
2 26.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Moto Klub de Sao Luis - Sampayo Korrea

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.61 market consensus · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
10.00 10.0% 1.01 99.3% 1.01 99.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.2%
X 1.10 90.9% 29.00 3.5% 26.00 3.9% 26.00 3.9% 7.00 14.3% 16.50 6.1%
9.00 11.1% 151.00 0.7% 151.00 0.7% 501.00 0.2% 41.00 2.4% 126.00 0.8%