Brazil: Sul-Matogrossense 2 Standings
7 de Setembro face Sao Gabriel MS on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Sul-Matogrossense 2 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): 7 de Setembro 2-1-1, Sao Gabriel MS 0-2-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 7 de Setembro — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · 7 de Setembro): model 60% · market 55% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win 7 de Setembro 55.4%, draw 24.8%, win Sao Gabriel MS 19.8%. Model favourite — 7 de Setembro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% |
| yes | 1.94 51.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.27 44.1% | |
| X | 2.08 48.1% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.36 73.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.77 56.5% |
Full head-to-head history7 de Setembro - Sao Gabriel MS
The 7 de Setembro - Sao Gabriel MS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
