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Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings
Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings
30.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings

Manicore - Kliper

Football
M
Manicore
3 : 2
Finished
K
Kliper
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Manicore — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Manicore): model 44% · market 79% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Manicore ✓ Pick75.7%
market79%
X · draw16.6%
market15%
2 · Kliper7.7%
market6%

Model estimate: win Manicore 75.7%, draw 16.6%, win Kliper 7.7%. Model favourite — Manicore.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manicore - Kliper July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manicore.

Line favourite Fonbet: Manicore. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / X 6.00 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Manicore 75.7% / X 16.6% / Kliper 7.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.8%
1 ✓ Pick 79.1%
X 14.9%
2 6.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Manicore - Kliper

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manicore 77.7% 75.7% market and model agree
Draw 16.2% 16.6% draw risk
Kliper 6.1% 7.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.7% / 16.6% / 7.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Manicore / Kliper
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 83.4%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 92.3%
X2 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 24.3%
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
1x — — 1.01 99.0%
x2 4.00 25.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.37 73.0%
X 3.26 30.7%
13.30 7.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 0.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 1.5 1.89 52.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManicore - Kliper

Manicore
0 matches total
Kliper
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history