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Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings
Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings
28.07.2026 22:00 UTC
28.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Amazonense 2 Standings

Unidos do Alvorada - Penyarol

Football
U
Unidos do Alvorada
- : -
Not started
Penyarol
Penyarol
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Unidos do Alvorada — 48%

1 · Unidos do Alvorada47.6%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Penyarol32.5%

Model estimate: win Unidos do Alvorada 47.6%, draw 19.9%, win Penyarol 32.5%. Model favourite — Unidos do Alvorada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Unidos do Alvorada (odds2.10) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Unidos do Alvorada: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Unidos do Alvorada - Penyarol July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Unidos do Alvorada - Penyarol

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Unidos do Alvorada - 47.6% model pick
Draw - 19.9% draw risk
Penyarol - 32.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.6% / 19.9% / 32.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,592 Unidos do Alvorada / Penyarol
RD 350 / 210 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,172-2,012 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Penyarol
W D W L
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Penyarol 3:0 Boston RiverBoston River
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Penyarol 1:1 Rasing MontevideoRasing Montevideo
07.06 16:00 UTC+0 Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Penyarol 1:0 SerroSerro
01.06 21:00 UTC+0 Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Penyarol 0:1 Sentral EspanolSentral Espanol
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
7 Points