Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Real Brasilia U20 — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · Real Brasilia U20): model 22% · market 47% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Samambaia U20 32.2%, draw 22.6%, win Real Brasilia U20 45.2%. Model favourite — Real Brasilia U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.70 58.8% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| X | 2.56 39.1% |
| 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.04 49.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.41 22.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Legiao U20
Samambaense U20
ARUC U20
Real Brasilia U20
Seylandense U20
Luzianiya U20
Paranoa U20
Full head-to-head historySamambaia U20 - Real Brasilia U20
The Samambaia U20 - Real Brasilia U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
