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Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff

Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20

Football
Santa Maria U20
Santa Maria U20
- : -
Not started
B
Brasiliense U20

Santa Maria U20 go head-to-head with Brasiliense U20 on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Brasiliense U2059%

Pure model vs market (2 · Brasiliense U20): model 34% · market 61% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santa Maria U2018.6%
market17%
X · draw22.4%
market22%
2 · Brasiliense U2059.0%
market61%

Model estimate: win Santa Maria U20 18.6%, draw 22.4%, win Brasiliense U20 59.0%. Model favourite — Brasiliense U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20 August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Brasiliense U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 4.10 / 2 1.51

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 16.7%
X 22.4%
2 60.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasiliense U20
League table
Santa Maria U20
#917 ptsGP 105-2-326:18
Brasiliense U20
#331 ptsGP 1110-1-049:6
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Santa Maria U20
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.61 Conceded 1.79
Brasiliense U20
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 4.29 Conceded 0.60

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Santa Maria U20
Rating 1578
Brasiliense U20
Rating 2021

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Santa Maria U20 2 : 2 Brasiliense U20
12.11
X3.42
22.98

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 16.7% @ 5.50 / X 22.4% @ 4.10 / 2 60.9% @ 1.51
Match center

Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santa Maria U20 17.1% 18.6%
Draw 22.4% 22.4% draw risk
Brasiliense U20 60.6% 59.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 18.6% / 22.4% / 59.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,682 / 1,707 Santa Maria U20 / Brasiliense U20
RD 254 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,174-2,190 / 1,126-2,289 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 59.0%
X 4.09 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.40 market consensus · no value · model 18.6%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 77.6%
1X 2.27 market consensus · no value · model 41.0%
X2 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 81.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.16 86.2%
1x 2.27 44.1%
x2 1.09 91.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.50 18.2%
X 2.36 42.4%
1.98 50.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 2.04 49.0%
Under 0.5 4.41 22.7%
Under 1.5 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Santa Maria U20
W D D W
27.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Santa Maria U20 6:0 Luzianiya U20Luzianiya U20
18.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Santa Maria U20 2:2 Kruzeyro DF U20
13.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Santa Maria U20 0:0 Seylandense U20Seylandense U20
04.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Santa Maria U20 4:0 Gremio Valparaiso U20Gremio Valparaiso U20
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
8 Points
Brasiliense U20
W W
26.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Brasiliense U20 7:1 Taguatinga U20Taguatinga U20
18.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Brasiliense U20 2:1 Legiao U20Legiao U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points