Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 go head-to-head with Brasiliense U20 on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Brasiliense U20 — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · Brasiliense U20): model 34% · market 61% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Santa Maria U20 18.6%, draw 22.4%, win Brasiliense U20 59.0%. Model favourite — Brasiliense U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20 August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 4.10 / 2 1.51
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Brasiliense U20Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 2.27 44.1% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| X | 2.36 42.4% |
| 1.98 50.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.04 49.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.41 22.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Santa Maria U20
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Taguatinga U20
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Full head-to-head historySanta Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form