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Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Brasiliense U20 - Playoff

Sobradino U20 - Canaa U20

Football
Sobradino U20
Sobradino U20
- : -
Not started
Canaa U20
Canaa U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Canaa U20 — 44%

Pure model vs market (2 · Canaa U20): model 33% · market 45% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sobradino U2032.1%
X · draw24.0%
2 · Canaa U2043.8%

Model estimate: win Sobradino U20 32.1%, draw 24.0%, win Canaa U20 43.8%. Model favourite — Canaa U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sobradino U20 - Canaa U20 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Canaa U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.80 / 2 2.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 31.3%
X 24.1%
2 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sobradino U20 1 : 1 Canaa U20
12.72
X3.04
22.39

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 31.3% @ 2.92 / X 24.1% @ 3.80 / 2 44.6% @ 2.05
Match center

Sobradino U20 - Canaa U20

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sobradino U20 31.4% 32.1%
Draw 24.1% 24.0% draw risk
Canaa U20 44.5% 43.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.1% / 24.0% / 43.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,506 / 1,500 Sobradino U20 / Canaa U20
RD 233 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,041-1,972 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 market consensus · no value · model 43.8%
X 3.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.91 market consensus · no value · model 32.1%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
1X 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 56.2%
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 67.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.59 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.70 37.0%
yes 1.41 70.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.63 61.4%
x2 1.32 75.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.42 29.2%
X 2.40 41.7%
2.49 40.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 0.5 4.19 23.9%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Sobradino U20
W D D L
26.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Sobradino U20 11:0 Brazlandia U20
18.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Sobradino U20 0:0 Gama U20
11.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Sobradino U20 1:1 Legiao U20Legiao U20
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Sobradino U20 0:1 Capital DF U20Capital DF U20
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
5 Points
Canaa U20
W W
27.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Canaa U20 2:1 Planaltina U20Planaltina U20
19.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Canaa U20 5:0 Brazilia U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySobradino U20 - Canaa U20

Sobradino U20
0 matches total
Canaa U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history