Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Atlético Mineiro U20 — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atlético Mineiro U20): model 49% · market 62% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atlético Mineiro U20 60.3%, draw 22.9%, win Coimbra U20 16.8%. Model favourite — Atlético Mineiro U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| X | 2.22 45.1% |
| 6.60 15.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
Full head-to-head historyAtlético Mineiro U20 - Coimbra U20
The Atlético Mineiro U20 - Coimbra U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
