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Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff

Samambaia U20 - Real Brasília U20

Football
Samambaia U20
Samambaia U20
- : -
Not started
Real Brasília U20
Real Brasília U20

Samambaia U20 meet Real Brasília U20 on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Samambaia U20 1-0-0, Real Brasília U20 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Samambaia U2061%

Pure model vs market (1 · Samambaia U20): model 64% · market 61% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Samambaia U20 ✓ Pick61.3%
market61%
X · draw23.1%
market23%
2 · Real Brasília U2015.6%
market15%

Model estimate: win Samambaia U20 61.3%, draw 23.1%, win Real Brasília U20 15.6%. Model favourite — Samambaia U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samambaia U20 - Real Brasília U20 August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Samambaia U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 3.90 / 2 6.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 ✓ Pick 61.3%
X 23.4%
2 15.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasiliense U20
League table
Samambaia U20
#621 ptsGP 106-3-128:7
Real Brasília U20
#330 ptsGP 1110-0-152:5
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Samambaia U20
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.82 Conceded 0.70
Real Brasília U20
W-D-L 10-0-0 Scored 5.10 Conceded 0.30

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Samambaia U20 1 : 3 Real Brasília U20
16.02
X4.15
21.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 61.3% @ 1.49 / X 23.4% @ 3.90 / 2 15.2% @ 6.00
Match center

Samambaia U20 - Real Brasília U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samambaia U20 61.2% 61.3% market and model agree
Draw 23.4% 23.1% draw risk
Real Brasília U20 15.5% 15.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.3% / 23.1% / 15.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,819 / 1,401 Camacariense U20 / Vila Real U20
RD 198 / 282 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,422-2,215 / 838-1,964 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.90 market consensus · no value · model 15.6%
X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 61.3%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%
1X 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 84.4%
X2 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.01 49.8%
X 2.21 45.3%
6.20 16.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.03 49.3%
Match center
Samambaia U20
W
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Samambaia U20 2:0 Vila Real U20Vila Real U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Real Brasília U20
L
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Real Brasília U20 0:2 Seara U20Seara U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamambaia U20 - Real Brasília U20

Samambaia U20
1 matches total
Real Brasília U20
Samambaia U20: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Brasília U20: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Seara U20 2:0 (26.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 26.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Seara U20
2:0
Vila Real U20