Brazil: Copa Governo (Sergipe) Standings
Lagarto - Guarani Asuncion
Lagarto meet Guarani Asuncion on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Copa Governo (Sergipe) Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lagarto 1-0-1, Guarani Asuncion 0-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Lagarto — 54%
Model estimate: win Lagarto 54.1%, draw 20.6%, win Guarani Asuncion 25.3%. Model favourite — Lagarto.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Lagarto: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lagarto - Guarani Asuncion August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Lagarto - Guarani Asuncion
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Guarani Asuncion
Full head-to-head historyLagarto - Guarani Asuncion
Match history
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The Lagarto - Guarani Asuncion breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form