Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Apafut take on Gaucho on August 10, 2026 in the Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Apafut 0-1-1, Gaucho 0-1-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Apafut — 49%
Model estimate: win Apafut 49.2%, draw 20.1%, win Gaucho 30.7%. Model favourite — Apafut.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.92 52.1% |
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| x2 | 1.41 70.9% | 1.41 70.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.09 32.4% | |
| X | 1.95 51.3% |
| 3.65 27.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
Gramadense
Brazil de Pelotas
Full head-to-head historyApafut - Gaucho
The Apafut - Gaucho breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
