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Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Quilmes - Gaucho

Football
Quilmes
Quilmes
- : -
Not started
G
Gaucho

Quilmes face Gaucho on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Quilmes — 56%

1 · Quilmes55.8%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Gaucho24.8%

Model estimate: win Quilmes 55.8%, draw 19.5%, win Gaucho 24.8%. Model favourite — Quilmes.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Quilmes (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • • Model backs Brazil de Pelotas: probability 56% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quilmes - Gaucho August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Quilmes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.03 / 2 6.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 62.4%
X 22.6%
2 14.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 62.4% @ 1.46 / X 22.6% @ 4.03 / 2 14.9% @ 6.10
Match center

Quilmes - Gaucho

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Quilmes 62.4% 55.8% market and model agree
Draw 22.6% 19.5% draw risk
Gaucho 14.9% 24.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.8% / 19.5% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,589 / 1,500 Quilmes / Gaucho
RD 170 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,248-1,930 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 market consensus · no value · model 24.8%
X 4.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 55.8%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.46 68.5%
X 4.03 24.8%
6.10 16.4%
Match center
Quilmes
L L W W D
23.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Copa FGF - Playoff
Quilmes 0:4 GramadenseGramadense
12.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Copa FGF - Playoff
Quilmes 0:1 GramadenseGramadense
04.07 20:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Copa FGF - Playoff
Quilmes 1:0 Santa Kruz RSSanta Kruz RS
10.06 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Copa FGF Standings
Quilmes 4:0 GA Farroupilha
07.06 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil D Standings
Quilmes 1:1 AzurisAzuris
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQuilmes - Gaucho

Quilmes
0 matches total
Gaucho
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history