What does PropickAI predict for Quilmes vs Gramadense?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Quilmes. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Quilmes vs Gramadense?

Live odds for Quilmes vs Gramadense from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

FreeMatch preview

Quilmes — Gramadense

Football 12.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Favourite Quilmes best odds 1.69

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Brazil. Gaucho. Division 2

12.08.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction

12.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

Brazil. Gaucho. Division 2

Quilmes vs Gramadense — Football prediction

Football

Quilmes

1 : 1

Finished

Gramadense

Quilmes go head-to-head with Gramadense on August 12, 2026 in the Brazil. Gaucho. Division 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): Quilmes 1-2-0, Gramadense 1-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — Quilmes or draw 1.01

Model confidence 86% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Quilmes (odds1.78) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Brazil de Pelotas: probability 50% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quilmes - Gramadense August 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Quilmes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 6.60 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2% 5 books · best price +1.2%

1 54.3%

X 28.6%

2 17.2%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Quilmes

53%

1.69

Draw

29%

6.60

Gramadense

18%

34.00

Handicap

Quilmes (0)

70%

1.31

Gramadense (0)

30%

3.10

Total

Over 1.5

60%

4.30

Under 1.5

40%

2.32

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Quilmes 1 : 1 Gramadense

11.65

X3.13

25.72

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 12.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Market 1 73.5% @ 1.08 / X 12.0% @ 6.60 / 2 14.4% @ 5.50

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Match center

Quilmes - Gramadense

Form 3/3 recent games

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.835 / LogLoss 1.262

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.835 / LogLoss 1.262

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.02 market consensus · line only

X 6.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.32 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.31 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.47 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.47 68.0%
yes	2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.05 95.2%	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.08 92.6%	1.11 90.1%	1.01 99.0%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%
x2	1.96 51.0%	2.06 48.5%	5.50 18.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.34 42.7%
X	1.87 53.5%
	6.70 14.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.60 62.5%
Under 0.5	2.20 45.5%

Match center

Quilmes

D W D

10.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Quilmes 0:0 Pasu-Fundu

06.08 23:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Quilmes 2:0 Guarani

02.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Quilmes 1:1 Gaucho

1 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.3 Conceded

5 Points

Gramadense

L W L

10.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Gramadense 0:2 Frederikoense

06.08 22:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Gramadense 1:0 Gaucho

01.08 18:00 UTC Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Gramadense 0:1 Veranopolis

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.3 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Quilmes - Gramadense

Quilmes

0 matches total

Gramadense

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Quilmes — Gramadense

Quilmes vs Gramadense — Football prediction

AI match prediction Quilmes - Gramadense August 12, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Forecast by market

Score prediction

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