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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Atletico Paranaense - Vitoria Salvador

Football
A
Atletico Paranaense
- : -
Not started
Vitoria Salvador
Vitoria Salvador

Atletico Paranaense go head-to-head with Vitoria Salvador on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Paranaense 3-1-1, Vitoria Salvador 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletico Paranaense60%

1 · Atletico Paranaense ✓ Pick60.2%
market61%
X · draw19.2%
market23%
2 · Vitoria Salvador20.6%
market16%

Model estimate: win Atletico Paranaense 60.2%, draw 19.2%, win Vitoria Salvador 20.6%. Model favourite — Atletico Paranaense.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Paranaense (odds1.55) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • Model backs Atletiko Paranaense: probability 56% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Paranaense - Vitoria Salvador August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Paranaense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.00 / 2 5.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 ✓ Pick 60.6%
X 23.5%
2 15.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil
League table
Atletico Paranaense
#622 ptsGP 20-2-00:0
Vitoria Salvador
#413 ptsGP 21-0-13:2
Best price across 13 books
1 1.62 Betano
X 3.95 Unibet
2 6.10 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico Paranaense
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.77 Conceded 0.56 xG 1.34 xGA 0.86 Corners 4.3
Vitoria Salvador
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 0.84 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.06 xGA 1.26 Corners 3.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico Paranaense
Rating 1797
Vitoria Salvador
Rating 1739

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 60.6% @ 1.55 / X 23.5% @ 4.00 / 2 15.9% @ 5.90
Match center

Atletico Paranaense - Vitoria Salvador

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Paranaense 60.6% 60.2% market and model agree
Draw 23.5% 19.2% draw risk
Vitoria Salvador 15.9% 20.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 60.2% / 19.2% / 20.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,680 / 1,467 Atletico Paranaense / Vitoria Salvador
RD 249 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,182-2,177 / 1,165-1,769 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.90 market consensus · no value · model 20.6%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 60.2%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 80.8%
1X 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 79.4%
X2 2.36 market consensus · no value · model 39.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.36 42.4%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 2.08 48.1%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.55 64.5%
X 4.00 25.0%
5.90 17.0%
Match center
Atletico Paranaense
D W W L W
2026-07-30 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Atletico Paranaense Corinthians SP 0:0 Atletico Paranaense
2026-07-25 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2:0 Internacional RS
2026-07-23 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Atletico Paranaense Sao Paulo 1:2 Atletico Paranaense
2026-07-09 Club Friendly Games 2026
Atletico Paranaense Boca Juniors 1:0 Atletico Paranaense
2026-05-30 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1:0 Mirassol
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Vitoria Salvador
L L D W W
2026-07-30 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Vitoria Salvador 0:4 Palmeiras SP Vitoria Salvador
2026-07-26 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Remo Belem 2:0 Vitoria Salvador Vitoria Salvador
2026-07-23 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Botafogo RJ 0:0 Vitoria Salvador Vitoria Salvador
2026-07-16 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Vitoria Salvador 1:0 Vasco da Gama RJ Vitoria Salvador
2026-06-06 Copa do Nordeste 2026, Knockout stage
Vitoria Salvador 2:1 Fortaleza Vitoria Salvador
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points