Brazil: Kopa Betano
Atletico Paranaense meet Vitoria Salvador on August 4, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Paranaense 3-1-1, Vitoria Salvador 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Atletico Paranaense the favourite at about 60%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Atletico Paranaense — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Paranaense): model 53% · market 60% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico Paranaense 59.4%, draw 24.9%, win Vitoria Salvador 15.7%. Model favourite — Atletico Paranaense.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Paranaense.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.81 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 5.40 18.5% | 6.36 15.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.70 14.9% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.56 64.1% |
| yes | 2.33 42.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
Vitoria Salvador
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Paranaense - Vitoria Salvador
The Atletico Paranaense - Vitoria Salvador breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
