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31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
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31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Chapecoense - Cruzeiro
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Cruzeiro — 48%
Model estimate: win Chapecoense 30.6%, draw 21.0%, win Cruzeiro 48.5%. Model favourite — Cruzeiro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Cruzeiro (odds2.55)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Kruzeyro: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
- • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chapecoense - Cruzeiro July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Match center
Chapecoense - Cruzeiro
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Chapecoense
-
30.6%
Draw
-
21.0%
draw risk
Cruzeiro
-
48.5%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
30.6% / 21.0% / 48.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,427 / 1,534
Shapekoense / Kruzeyro
RD
169 / 209
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,088-1,765 / 1,116-1,953
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Chapecoense
D
L
L
W
W
Chapecoense
Santos SP 2:2 Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Chapecoense 0:4 Flamengo RJ
Chapecoense
Bahia 2:0 Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Gremio 1:2 Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Chapecoense 3:0 Avai
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Cruzeiro
W
L
W
L
W
Coritiba Parana 0:1 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 0:1 Botafogo RJ
Cruzeiro
Internacional RS 1:2 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 1:3 Gremio
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 2:0 Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChapecoense - Cruzeiro
Chapecoense
1
matches total
Chapecoense: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cruzeiro: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Cruzeiro 2:1 (2026-05-24)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 2026-05-24)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Cruzeiro 2:1 Chapecoense
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form