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04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Fortaleza EC - Palmeiras
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:
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Not started
Fortaleza EC take on Palmeiras on August 4, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Fortaleza EC 0-0-1, Palmeiras 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Palmeiras — 52%
Model estimate: win Fortaleza EC 27.2%, draw 20.8%, win Palmeiras 52.0%. Model favourite — Palmeiras.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Palmeiras (odds2.17)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Palmeyras: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.17)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fortaleza EC - Palmeiras August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Do BrasilLeague table
Fortaleza EC
Palmeiras
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Fortaleza EC
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 1.28
Conceded 1.19
xG 1.34
xGA 0.95
Corners 7.4
Palmeiras
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 1.76
Conceded 0.57
xG 1.84
xGA 0.71
Corners 7.5
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Fortaleza EC
Rating 1799
Palmeiras
Rating 1947
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Fortaleza EC
1
:
3
Palmeiras
19.85
X4.94
21.34
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Fortaleza EC - Palmeiras
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Fortaleza EC
-
27.2%
Draw
-
20.8%
draw risk
Palmeiras
-
52.0%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
27.2% / 20.8% / 52.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,561 / 1,759
Fortaleza / Palmeiras SP
RD
142 / 195
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,278-1,845 / 1,368-2,150
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Fortaleza EC
L
Fortaleza EC
0:2
Palmeyras
Palmeyras
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Palmeiras
W
Palmeiras
2:0
Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFortaleza EC - Palmeiras
Fortaleza EC
1
matches total
Fortaleza EC: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Palmeiras: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Palmeyras 0:2 (02.08 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 02.08 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Fortaleza
0:2
Palmeyras
Unlock the full match prediction
The Fortaleza EC - Palmeiras breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form