Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Juventude - Atletico-MG

Football
Juventude
Juventude
0 : 3
Finished
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG

Juventude meet Atletico-MG on August 3, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

Recent form (W-D-L): Juventude 0-0-1, Atletico-MG 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Atletico-MG at roughly 40%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 31% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Atletico-MG39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Atletico-MG): model 35% · market 39% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Juventude30.9%
X · draw29.9%
2 · Atletico-MG39.2%

Model estimate: win Juventude 30.9%, draw 29.9%, win Atletico-MG 39.2%. Model favourite — Atletico-MG.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Atletico-MG (odds3.30) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Atletiko Mineyro: probability 50% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.30)
  • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventude - Atletico-MG August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico-MG.

Strongest: Atletico-MG - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.09 / X 3.11 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Juventude 30.2% / X 30.0% / Atletico-MG 39.8%
  • Glicko: Juventude 30.9% / X 29.9% / Atletico-MG 39.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3% 15 books · best price +2.1%
1 30.3%
X 30.3%
2 39.5%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil
League table
Juventude
#211 ptsGP 63-2-112:3
Atletico-MG
#384 ptsGP 31-1-13:3
Best price across 12 books
1 3.25 Betfair
X 3.25 Unibet
2 2.42 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Juventude
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.74 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.29 xGA 1.14 Corners 4.6
Atletico-MG
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.41 Conceded 1.06 xG 1.47 xGA 0.87 Corners 6.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Juventude
Rating 1835 xG 1.31 Win 34%
Atletico-MG
Rating 1749 xG 1.47 Win 41%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Juventude 1 : 1 Atletico-MG
15.80
X3.46
21.68

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 30.2% @ 3.09 / X 30.0% @ 3.11 / 2 39.8% @ 2.34
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Atletico-MG 39%
💹 Market Atletico-MG 3978%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Juventude - Atletico-MG

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 56.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.514
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 56.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.514
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Juventude 30.3% 30.9%
Draw 30.3% 29.9% draw risk
Atletico-MG 39.5% 39.2% market and model agree
xG - 1.31 : 1.47
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.9% / 29.9% / 39.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,679 / 1,718 Zhuventude / Atletiko Mineyro
RD 150 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,378-1,979 / 1,287-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 market consensus · no value · model 39.2%
X 3.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.09 market consensus · no value · model 30.9%
Double chance
12 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 70.1%
1X 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 60.8%
X2 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 69.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.64 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.05 32.8% 3.13 32.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 2.90 34.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 6.25 16.0%
0_2 9.50 10.5%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 13.00 7.7%
2_1 9.00 11.1%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 31.00 3.2%
Match center
Juventude
L
01.08 22:30 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Juventude 0:3 Atletiko MineyroAtletiko Mineyro
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Atletico-MG
W
01.08 22:30 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Atletico-MG 3:0 ZhuventudeZhuventude
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventude - Atletico-MG

Juventude
1 matches total
Atletico-MG
Juventude: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico-MG: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atletiko Mineyro 0:3 (01.08 22:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 01.08 22:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.08 22:30 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Zhuventude
0:3
Atletiko Mineyro