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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Trento - Gremio

Football
T
Trento
2 : 1
Finished
G
Gremio

Trento go head-to-head with Gremio on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Trento — 59%

1 · Trento ✓ Pick58.6%
market46%
X · draw18.7%
market30%
2 · Gremio22.6%
market24%

Model estimate: win Trento 58.6%, draw 18.7%, win Gremio 22.6%. Model favourite — Trento.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Trento (odds2.02) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.75→1.02 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Mirassol: probability 59% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trento - Gremio August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Trento.

Line favourite market consensus: Trento. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.24 / 2 4.00
  • Glicko: Trento 58.6% / X 18.7% / Gremio 22.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 ✓ Pick 46.5%
X 29.6%
2 23.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.75 ↓ 1.02
1X2 X 3.70 ↑ 7.20
1X2 2 4.50 ↑ 89.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 46.5% @ 2.06 / X 29.6% @ 3.24 / 2 23.9% @ 4.00
Match center

Trento - Gremio

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.6% fact: home hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.258 / LogLoss 0.534
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.6% fact: home hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.258 / LogLoss 0.534
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Trento 86.7% 58.6% market and model agree
Draw 12.3% 18.7% draw risk
Gremio 1.0% 22.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.6% / 18.7% / 22.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,602 / 1,455 Trento / Gremio
RD 218 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,167-2,037 / 955-1,956 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.92 market consensus · no value · model 22.6%
X 3.21 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.02 market consensus · value +18.4% · model 58.6%
Double chance
12 1.32 market consensus · value +7.3% · model 81.3%
1X 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 77.4%
X2 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 41.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.84 35.2%
X 2.04 49.0%
4.42 22.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.13 47.0%
Under 1 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Trento
W D W
29.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Trento 2:1 Remo
25.07 21:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Trento 1:1 Vasko da GamaVasko da Gama
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Trento 2:1 Gremio
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Gremio
D L
26.07 19:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Gremio 1:1 FluminenseFluminense
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Gremio 1:2 Mirassol
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTrento - Gremio

Trento
0 matches total
Gremio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history