Brazil: Kopa Betano
Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza
Palmeiras SP go head-to-head with Fortaleza on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Palmeiras SP 4-0-1, Fortaleza 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Palmeiras SP — 75%
Pure model vs market (1 · Palmeiras SP): model 53% · market 77% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Palmeiras SP 75.1%, draw 16.6%, win Fortaleza 8.3%. Model favourite — Palmeiras SP.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Palmeyras: probability 75% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 5.90 / 2 13.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Do BrasilHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.50 66.7% |
| yes | 2.48 40.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% | — |
| x2 | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 2.64 37.9% |
| 11.80 8.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
Fortaleza
Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras SP - Fortaleza
Match history
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The Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form