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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza

Football
P
Palmeiras SP
- : -
Not started
Fortaleza
Fortaleza

Palmeiras SP go head-to-head with Fortaleza on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

Recent form (W-D-L): Palmeiras SP 4-0-1, Fortaleza 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Palmeiras SP75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Palmeiras SP): model 53% · market 77% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Palmeiras SP ✓ Pick75.1%
market77%
X · draw16.6%
market16%
2 · Fortaleza8.3%
market7%

Model estimate: win Palmeiras SP 75.1%, draw 16.6%, win Fortaleza 8.3%. Model favourite — Palmeiras SP.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Palmeiras SP (odds1.23) Score 3:0 confidence 75%
  • Model backs Palmeyras: probability 75% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Palmeiras SP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 5.90 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 76.6%
X 16.1%
2 7.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil
League table
Palmeiras SP
#126 ptsGP 22-0-07:1
Fortaleza
#113 ptsGP 54-1-08:4
Best price across 12 books
1 1.26 Betano
X 6.00 Dafabet
2 16.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Palmeiras SP
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.61 Conceded 0.68 xG 1.81 xGA 0.72 Corners 7.7
Fortaleza
W-D-L 4-6-0 Scored 1.36 Conceded 0.88 xG 1.49 xGA 0.76 Corners 7.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Palmeiras SP
Rating 1874 xG 2.15 Win 71%
Fortaleza
Rating 1848 xG 0.69 Win 11%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Palmeiras SP 0 : 0 Fortaleza
17.06
X3.90
21.48

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 76.6% @ 1.24 / X 16.1% @ 5.90 / 2 7.3% @ 13.00
Match center

Palmeiras SP - Fortaleza

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Palmeiras SP 76.5% 75.1% market and model agree
Draw 16.2% 16.6% draw risk
Fortaleza 7.2% 8.3%
xG - 2.15 : 0.69

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.1% / 16.6% / 8.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,759 / 1,561 Palmeiras SP / Fortaleza
RD 195 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,368-2,150 / 1,278-1,845 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.83 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 83.4%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 91.7%
X2 3.90 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.48 40.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.65 60.6%
X 2.64 37.9%
11.80 8.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Palmeiras SP
W L W W W
2026-07-30 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Palmeiras SP Vitoria Salvador 0:4 Palmeiras SP
2026-07-26 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Palmeiras SP Palmeiras SP 1:2 Atletico Mineiro
2026-07-22 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Palmeiras SP Coritiba Parana 1:3 Palmeiras SP
2026-05-31 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Palmeiras SP Palmeiras SP 1:0 Chapecoense
2026-05-28 CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F
Palmeiras SP Palmeiras SP 4:1 Junior Barranquilla
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Fortaleza
W L W L W
2026-07-29 Brasileiro Serie B 2026
Fortaleza 1:0 Botafogo SP Fortaleza
2026-07-22 Brasileiro Serie B 2026
Vila Nova 2:1 Fortaleza Fortaleza
2026-07-18 Brasileiro Serie B 2026
Fortaleza 1:0 Novorizontino Fortaleza
2026-07-12 Brasileiro Serie B 2026
Atletico Goianiense 1:0 Fortaleza Fortaleza
2026-07-03 Brasileiro Serie B 2026
Fortaleza 2:0 Ponte Preta Fortaleza
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras SP - Fortaleza

Palmeiras SP
0 matches total
Fortaleza
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history