Brazil: Kopa Betano
Chapecoense face Cruzeiro on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Chapecoense 2-1-2, Cruzeiro 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Cruzeiro — 48%
Pure model vs market (2 · Cruzeiro): model 38% · market 50% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Chapecoense 30.6%, draw 21.0%, win Cruzeiro 48.5%. Model favourite — Cruzeiro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% |
| x2 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.98 20.1% | |
| X | 2.07 48.3% |
| 2.58 38.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
Chapecoense
Cruzeiro
Full head-to-head historyChapecoense - Cruzeiro
The Chapecoense - Cruzeiro breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
