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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Vasko da Gama - Fluminense

Football
Vasko da Gama
Vasko da Gama
- : -
Not started
Fluminense
Fluminense
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vasko da Gama — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vasko da Gama): model 35% · market 29% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Vasko da Gama49.8%
X · draw20.8%
2 · Fluminense29.5%

Model estimate: win Vasko da Gama 49.8%, draw 20.8%, win Fluminense 29.5%. Model favourite — Vasko da Gama.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vasko da Gama (odds2.01) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Vasko da Gama: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.01)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vasko da Gama - Fluminense July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Fluminense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / X 3.32 / 2 2.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 29.1%
X 28.5%
2 42.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Vasko da Gama - Fluminense

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vasko da Gama - 49.8% model pick
Draw - 20.8% draw risk
Fluminense - 29.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 20.8% / 29.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,434 / 1,607 Vasko da Gama / Fluminense
RD 200 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,035-1,834 / 1,145-2,069 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · no value · model 29.5%
X 3.31 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.22 market consensus · weak value +60.2% · model 49.8%
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · weak value +3.8% · model 79.2%
1X 1.61 market consensus · value +13.6% · model 70.5%
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.61 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.10 24.4%
X 2.01 49.8%
3.05 32.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.09 47.9%
Under 1 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Vasko da Gama
D L L W
25.07 21:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Vasko da Gama 1:1 Mirassol
16.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Vasko da Gama 0:1 VitoriyaVitoriya
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Vasko da Gama 0:1 Atletiko Mineyro
06.05 22:00 UTC+0 Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup
Vasko da Gama 2:1 Audaks ItalyanoAudaks Italyano
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Fluminense
D D D
26.07 19:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Fluminense 1:1 Gremio
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Fluminense 1:1 BragantinoBragantino
31.05 21:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Fluminense 1:1 KruzeyroKruzeyro
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVasko da Gama - Fluminense

Vasko da Gama
0 matches total
Fluminense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history