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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
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Brazil: Kopa Betano

Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense

Football
Vitoria
Vitoria
- : -
Not started
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense

Vitoria face Atletico Paranaense on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

Recent form (W-D-L): Vitoria 0-0-1, Atletico Paranaense 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Atletico Paranaense51%

1 · Vitoria28.8%
X · draw20.3%
2 · Atletico Paranaense50.9%

Model estimate: win Vitoria 28.8%, draw 20.3%, win Atletico Paranaense 50.9%. Model favourite — Atletico Paranaense.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Atletico Paranaense (odds2.21) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Atletiko Paranaense: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.21)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil
League table
Vitoria
#553 ptsGP 31-0-23:4
Atletico Paranaense
#215 ptsGP 31-2-02:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Vitoria
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 0.68 Conceded 1.36 xG 0.99 xGA 1.32 Corners 2.6
Atletico Paranaense
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.81 Conceded 0.53 xG 1.33 xGA 0.85 Corners 4.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Vitoria
Rating 1652
Atletico Paranaense
Rating 1843

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vitoria 1 : 2 Atletico Paranaense
16.26
X3.48
21.65

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 50.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.675
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 50.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.675
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vitoria - 28.8%
Draw - 20.3% draw risk
Atletico Paranaense - 50.9% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.8% / 20.3% / 50.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,467 / 1,680 Vitoriya / Atletiko Paranaense
RD 151 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,164-1,769 / 1,182-2,178 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-3, avg 2.5 gls
2026-08-04 · Vitoriya BA 0:2 Atletiko Paranaense
2026-04-26 · Vitoriya BA 1:3 Atletiko Paranaense
2024-11-02 · Vitoriya BA 2:1 Atletiko Paranaense
2024-06-30 · Vitoriya BA 0:1 Atletiko Paranaense
Source: ruscore
Vitoria
L
04.08 00:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Vitoria 0:1 Atletiko ParanaenseAtletiko Paranaense
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Atletico Paranaense
W
04.08 00:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Atletico Paranaense 1:0 VitoriyaVitoriya
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVitoria - Atletico Paranaense

Vitoria
1 matches total
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico Paranaense: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atletiko Paranaense 0:1 (04.08 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 04.08 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.08 00:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Vitoriya
0:1
Atletiko Paranaense