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Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
30.07.2026 16:30 UTC
30.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings

AA Iguacu - Hope Internacional

Football
A
AA Iguacu
- : -
Not started
H
Hope Internacional
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 AA Iguacu — 52%

1 · AA Iguacu52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Hope Internacional28.5%

Model estimate: win AA Iguacu 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Hope Internacional 28.5%. Model favourite — AA Iguacu.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1AA Iguacu (odds2.24) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs AA Iguacu: probability 52% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.24)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AA Iguacu - Hope Internacional July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hope Internacional. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 5.00 / 2 1.99

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 14.9%
1 38.9%
X 17.4%
2 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

AA Iguacu - Hope Internacional

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
AA Iguacu 38.9% 52.1% Glicko contrarian
Draw 17.4% 19.4% draw risk
Hope Internacional 43.7% 28.5% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 AA Iguacu / Hope Internacional
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.99 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 28.5%
X 5.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.24 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 52.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 5 1.60 62.5%
Under 5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.24 44.6%
X 5.00 20.0%
1.99 50.3%
Match center
AA Iguacu
W
27.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
AA Iguacu 2:0 Samas
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Hope Internacional
D
27.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
Hope Internacional 1:1 Irati
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points