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Brazil. U20. Potiguar
Brazil. U20. Potiguar
29.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Potiguar

QFC U20 - America Natal U20

Football
Q
QFC U20
0 : 1
Finished
A
America Natal U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 QFC U20 — 52%

1 · QFC U2052.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · America Natal U2028.5%

Model estimate: win QFC U20 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win America Natal U20 28.5%. Model favourite — QFC U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction QFC U20 - America Natal U20 July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.90 / X 1.19 / 2 7.90
  • Glicko: QFC U20 52.1% / X 19.4% / America Natal U20 28.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 11.6%
X 76.8%
2 11.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

QFC U20 4 : 1 America Natal U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

QFC U20 - America Natal U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
QFC U20 39.9% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 25.8% 19.4% draw risk
America Natal U20 34.3% 28.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 QFC U20 / America Natal U20
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.90 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%
X 1.19 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.90 Fonbet · weak value +311.8% · model 52.1%
Double chance
12 3.95 Fonbet · weak value +218.4% · model 80.6%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%
X2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.30 43.5%
yes 6.30 15.9% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.95 25.3%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.83 35.3%
X 2.21 45.3%
3.28 30.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.16 46.3%