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Bulgaria. Division 2
Bulgaria. Division 2
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Bulgaria. Division 2

Pirin - TsSKA Sofiya II

Football
Pirin
Pirin
- : -
Not started
T
TsSKA Sofiya II

Pirin take on TsSKA Sofiya II on August 2, 2026 in the Bulgaria. Division 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pirin 0-0-1, TsSKA Sofiya II 0-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 TsSKA Sofiya II35%

Pure model vs market (2 · TsSKA Sofiya II): model 45% · market 35% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Pirin34.8%
X · draw29.7%
2 · TsSKA Sofiya II35.5%

Model estimate: win Pirin 34.8%, draw 29.7%, win TsSKA Sofiya II 35.5%. Model favourite — TsSKA Sofiya II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2TsSKA Sofiya II (odds2.60) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs TsSKA Sofiya II: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
  • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pirin - TsSKA Sofiya II August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Pirin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.05 / 2 2.61

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 35.1%
X 29.9%
2 35.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 35.1% @ 2.60 / X 29.9% @ 3.05 / 2 35.0% @ 2.61
Match center

Pirin - TsSKA Sofiya II

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pirin 34.9% 34.8% market favourite
Draw 30.2% 29.7% draw risk
TsSKA Sofiya II 34.9% 35.5% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.8% / 29.7% / 35.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,292 / 1,519 Pirin / TsSKA Sofiya II
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 710-1,874 / 937-2,101 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 35.5%
X 3.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.59 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.8%
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 70.3%
1X 1.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 64.5%
X2 1.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4%
x2 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.25 30.8%
X 1.96 51.0%
3.42 29.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.00 50.0%
Under 1 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Pirin
L
28.07 13:30 UTC Bulgaria: Second League Standings
Pirin 1:5 DobrudzhaDobrudzha
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
TsSKA Sofiya II
D
28.07 13:30 UTC Bulgaria: Second League Standings
TsSKA Sofiya II 1:1 Viren
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPirin - TsSKA Sofiya II

Pirin
0 matches total
TsSKA Sofiya II
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history