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Bulgaria. Division 2
Bulgaria. Division 2
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria. Division 2

Viren - TsSKA Sofiya II

Football
V
Viren
- : -
Finished
T
TsSKA Sofiya II
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Viren — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Viren): model 44% · market 8% Δ +36 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Viren49.4%
X · draw26.5%
2 · TsSKA Sofiya II24.1%

Model estimate: win Viren 49.4%, draw 26.5%, win TsSKA Sofiya II 24.1%. Model favourite — Viren.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Viren (odds1.86) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Viren: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Viren - TsSKA Sofiya II July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: TsSKA Sofiya II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / X 4.00 / 2 1.32

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 7.6%
X 22.9%
2 69.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.82 ↑ 2.55
1X2 X 3.45 ↓ 2.35
1X2 P2 3.95 ↓ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Viren 1 : 1 TsSKA Sofiya II
11.80
X3.50
23.84

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 68'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

68'
8% 23% 69%
Viren (1) Draw (X) TsSKA Sofiya II (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 14:21 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 22%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated28.07.2026 14:34 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 24%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Qwen updated28.07.2026 14:30 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 14:50 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 18%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 28% 22% 1:0 Under 2.5 No
Claude 46% 30% 24% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 52% 30% 18% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Viren 57%
📐 Math model Viren 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Viren - TsSKA Sofiya II

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Viren 49.7% 49.4% market and model agree
Draw 26.8% 26.5% draw risk
TsSKA Sofiya II 23.5% 24.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.4% / 26.5% / 24.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Viren / TsSKA Sofiya II
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 24.1%
X 4.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 73.5%
1X 3.00 Fonbet · weak value +127.8% · model 75.9%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 50.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.47 68.0% 2.00 50.0%
yes 2.50 40.0% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.21 82.6% 3.00 33.3%
x2 1.75 57.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.33 42.9%
X 2.17 46.1%
4.52 22.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyViren - TsSKA Sofiya II

Viren
0 matches total
TsSKA Sofiya II
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history