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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
10.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 2
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - 1. FC Köln January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 3.52 / 2 2.48
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 33.8% / X 27.4% / 1. FC Köln 38.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 33.8%
X 27.4%
2 38.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 2.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.86 35.0%
X 3.55 28.2%
2.52 39.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.80 35.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.86 35.0% 2.86 35.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.55 28.2% 3.55 28.2%
2.47 40.5% 2.53 39.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.49 40.2% 2.52 39.7% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.38 42.0% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
L L W W L
21.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FrayburgFrayburg
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
1. FC Köln
L L D D L
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points