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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 1
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.80 / X 4.75 / 2 1.47
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 14.2% / X 20.3% / Bayer Leverkusen 65.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 14.2%
X 20.3%
2 65.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus · line only
X 4.75 market consensus · line only
1 6.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.80 14.7%
X 4.75 21.1%
1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.84 35.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 2.5 2.23 44.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.47 18.3%
1.17 85.5%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
D L L W L
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
06.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
D W D D W
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 BavariyaBavariya
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points