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Bundesliga Germany

21.03.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

21.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football

1. FC Heidenheim

3 : 3

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen March 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.22 / X 4.46 / 2 1.57
1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 18.2% / X 21.3% / Bayer Leverkusen 60.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 65.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 18.2%

X 21.3%

2 60.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%

Over 2.5 65.0%

Under 2.5 35.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.57 market consensus · line only

X 4.46 market consensus · line only

1 5.23 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.16 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 2.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 4.63 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.44 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.34 18.7%
X	4.45 22.5%
	1.60 62.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%	5.48 18.3%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.10 19.6%
X	4.30 23.3%	4.50 22.2%	4.67 21.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.55 22.0%
	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.38 42.0%	2.51 39.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.25 44.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.41 41.5%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.15 87.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.13 88.5%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.38 42.0%	2.46 40.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim

L L L D L

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:4 1899 Hoffenheim

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 Werder Bremen

22.02 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 3:3 VfB Stuttgart

15.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 FC Augsburg

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.2 Conceded

1 Points

Bayer Leverkusen

D D W D L

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Bavariya

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 Frayburg

04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 Hamburger SV

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Maynts

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 Union Berlin

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

1. FC Heidenheim

2 matches total

Bayer Leverkusen

1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bayer Leverkusen: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 0:6 (08.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (0:6, 08.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 7

7 Goals conceded 0

Match history

08.11 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

0:6

Bayer Leverkusen

05.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

0:1

Bayer Leverkusen