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Bundesliga Germany

21.12.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

21.12.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayern München

Germany Football

1. FC Heidenheim

0 : 4

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Bayern München December 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 15.23 / X 8.47 / 2 1.16
1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 6.3% / X 11.3% / Bayern München 82.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 74.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 6.3%

X 11.3%

2 82.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 74.1%

Under 2.5 25.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.12.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 market consensus · line only

X 8.52 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.03 market consensus · line only

12 1.08 market consensus · line only

1X 5.41 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.04 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.19 market consensus · line only

1 +0.5 5.22 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.27 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.94 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	15.84 6.3%
X	9.19 10.9%
	1.16 86.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	14.50 6.9%	16.00 6.3%	16.00 6.3%	15.00 6.7%	13.00 7.7%	19.50 5.1%
X	8.00 12.5%	9.30 10.8%	8.85 11.3%	7.50 13.3%	9.50 10.5%	7.90 12.7%
	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.19 84.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.93 51.8%	1.93 51.8%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.03 97.1%	1.02 98.0%	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%
home_away	1.07 93.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%
home_draw	5.25 19.1%	5.40 18.5%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%	5.40 18.5%	5.45 18.4%

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim

L W W L L

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FC St. Pauli

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Frayburg

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Union Berlin

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:6 Bayer Leverkusen

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.6 Conceded

6 Points

Bayern München

D W W W D

14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Maynts

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:0 VfB Stuttgart

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:1 FC St. Pauli

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 6:2 Frayburg

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Union Berlin

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

3.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - Bayern München

1. FC Heidenheim

1 matches total

Bayern München

1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bayern München: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Bavariya 0:4 (19.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 19.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

0:4

Bavariya