Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 2
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.25 / X 4.33 / 2 1.57
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 18.0% / X 21.8% / Borussia Dortmund 60.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 18.0%
X 21.8%
2 60.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 market consensus · line only
X 4.33 market consensus · line only
1 5.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 2.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.25 19.1%
Х 4.33 23.1%
П2 1.57 63.7%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
П1 5.25 19.1% 5.25 19.1%
Х 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1%
П2 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
L L W D L
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
26.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 SV Elversberg
22.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 SV Elversberg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W D W W W
31.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
23.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:3 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
11.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
03.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund

1. FC Heidenheim
1 matches total
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 2:4 (13.09 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 13.09 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
2:4
Borussia Dortmund