Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
01.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
4 : 0
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Heidenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Heidenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.52 / X 3.47 / 2 2.92
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 38.6% / X 28.1% / FC Augsburg 33.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 38.6%
X 28.0%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 2.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.52 39.7%
Х 3.47 28.8%
П2 2.92 34.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.45 69.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.81 55.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.10 47.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.81 55.3%
П2 2.09 47.9%