Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
27.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg 27 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.49 / 2 2.48
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 34.3% / X 27.3% / FC Augsburg 38.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 34.3%
X 27.3%
2 38.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.85 35.1%
Х 3.56 28.1%
П2 2.53 39.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.72 36.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
П2 2.46 40.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
L L L L W
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
26.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 SV Elversberg
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Augsburg
L L L W L
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:4 MayntsMaynts
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - FC Augsburg

1. FC Heidenheim
1 matches total
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win 1. FC Heidenheim 4:0 (01.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 01.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
4:0
FC Augsburg