Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 2
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05 16 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Heidenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Heidenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 4.22 / 2 3.64
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 51.6% / X 22.4% / FSV Mainz 05 26.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 51.6%
X 22.4%
2 26.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.4%
Over 2.5 68.0%
Under 2.5 32.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus · line only
X 4.22 market consensus · line only
1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1%
Х 4.30 23.3% 4.57 21.9% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.20 23.8%
П2 3.75 26.7% 3.74 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.80 35.7% 2.93 34.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2%
ТБ 1.75 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 2.0 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 2.25 1.23 81.3%
ТБ 2.5 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 2.75 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 3.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 4.5 3.20 31.3%
ТБ 5.5 5.75 17.4%
ТМ 1.5 6.25 16.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.90 34.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 4.5 1.33 75.2%
ТМ 5.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
W D W L W
10.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:3 BavariyaBavariya
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
FSV Mainz 05
L W L D L
10.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:3 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:4 BavariyaBavariya
19.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
12.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim
2 matches total
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FSV Mainz 05: 1 (50%)
Biggest win 1. FC Heidenheim 2:0 (28.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 13.01 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
1:2
Maynts
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
2:0
Maynts