Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 1
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.18 / X 4.04 / 2 1.69
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 18.7% / X 24.0% / RB Leipzig 57.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 18.7%
X 24.0%
2 57.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 58.1%
Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - RB Leipzig

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.69 market consensus · line only
X 4.04 market consensus · line only
1 5.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.18 19.3%
Х 4.04 24.8%
П2 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.28 43.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.32 43.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.93 25.5%
П2 1.28 78.1%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
W L L W
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 FrayburgFrayburg
13.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
RB Leipzig
W D D
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
5 Points