Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
21.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 3
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.26 / X 3.51 / 2 2.29
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 29.8% / X 27.7% / SC Freiburg 42.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 29.8%
X 27.7%
2 42.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 3.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.26 30.7%
Х 3.51 28.5%
П2 2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.79 55.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.13 47.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.36 42.4%
П2 1.64 61.0%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
L W
13.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
SC Freiburg
W L
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 BavariyaBavariya
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points