Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg

Germany Futbol
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg 6 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.47 / X 3.54 / 2 1.84
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 21.3% / X 26.9% / SC Freiburg 51.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 21.3%
X 26.9%
2 51.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 46.1%
Under 2.5 53.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 4.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.68 21.4%
Х 3.63 27.6%
П2 1.85 54.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7% 4.52 22.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
П2 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
W L L D L
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
SC Freiburg
W L W D L
30.11 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 4:0 MayntsMaynts
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:6 BavariyaBavariya
09.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - SC Freiburg

1. FC Heidenheim
1 matches total
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
SC Freiburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Frayburg 0:3 (21.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 21.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
0:3
Frayburg