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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen

Germany Football
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 4
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Heidenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Heidenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.91 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 38.0% / X 24.9% / Werder Bremen 37.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 38.0%
X 24.9%
2 37.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.56 39.1%
X 3.91 25.6%
2.62 38.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
1.94 51.6%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
W D W L L
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
02.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Werder Bremen
D D D W W
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points