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Bundesliga Germany

18.10.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

18.10.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen

Germany Football

1. FC Heidenheim

2 : 2

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.02 / X 3.52 / 2 2.35
1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 31.8% / X 27.3% / Werder Bremen 40.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%

1 31.8%

X 27.3%

2 40.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 54.9%

Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.10.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.35 market consensus · line only

X 3.53 market consensus · line only

1 3.04 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.41 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.62 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.31 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.11 32.2%
X	3.55 28.2%
	2.36 42.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	3.00 33.3%	3.06 32.7%	3.00 33.3%	2.99 33.4%	3.11 32.2%	3.11 32.2%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.62 27.6%	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%	3.55 28.2%	3.55 28.2%
	2.31 43.3%	2.43 41.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.36 42.4%	2.36 42.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.34 42.7%	2.28 43.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.43 41.2%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.61 62.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.43 69.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.43 69.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.63 61.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.63 61.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%