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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
10.05.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
1 : 3
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - 1. FC Heidenheim May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.96 / 2 3.16
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 45.9% / X 24.0% / 1. FC Heidenheim 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 45.9%
X 24.0%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 67.2%
Under 2.5 32.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 4.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.94 51.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.11 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6%
3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.75 36.4% 2.94 34.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.89 34.6% 2.95 33.9%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.75 — 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.48 67.6% —
Over 3.5 2.15 46.5% —
Over 4.5 3.55 28.2% —
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4% —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% —
Under 2.5 2.65 37.7% —
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9% —
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1% —
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9% —
Match center
1. FC Köln
D L D W D
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
17.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
D W L W D
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:3 BavariyaBavariya
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - 1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Köln
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 10.01 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (10.01 14:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
2:2
1. FC Heidenheim