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Bundesliga Germany

21.02.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football

1. FC Köln

2 : 2

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - 1899 Hoffenheim February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.44 / X 3.64 / 2 2.11
1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 28.0% / X 26.5% / 1899 Hoffenheim 45.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 28.0%

X 26.4%

2 45.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%

Over 2.5 57.5%

Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Köln - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.11 market consensus · line only

X 3.64 market consensus · line only

1 3.45 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.34 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.76 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.95 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.41 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.52 28.4%
X	3.63 27.6%
	2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	3.45 29.0%	3.54 28.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.52 28.4%	3.52 28.4%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.72 26.9%	3.75 26.7%	3.64 27.5%	3.63 27.6%	3.63 27.6%
	2.08 48.1%	2.16 46.3%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.13 47.0%	2.13 47.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.54 39.4%	2.36 42.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.32 43.1%	2.47 40.5%	2.40 41.7%
yes	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.54 64.9%	1.59 62.9%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.35 74.1%
home_away	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.78 56.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.79 55.9%	1.79 55.9%	1.70 58.8%

Match center

1. FC Köln

L L W L W

14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:3 VfB Stuttgart

08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 RB Leipzig

30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg

25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 Frayburg

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:1 Maynts

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

1899 Hoffenheim

W L W W W

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Frayburg

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:5 Bavariya

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Union Berlin

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Werder Bremen

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - 1899 Hoffenheim

1. FC Köln

1 matches total

1899 Hoffenheim

1. FC Köln: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)

Biggest win 1. FC Köln 1:0 (03.10 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 03.10 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.10 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

1:0

1899 Hoffenheim