Match center
Start
14.01.2026 19:30 UTC
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14.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln - Bayern München
1
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - Bayern München January 14, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.96 / X 6.98 / 2 1.23
- 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 8.8% / X 13.7% / Bayern München 77.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 75.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
8.7%
X
13.7%
2
77.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5
75.0%
Under 2.5
25.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
1. FC Köln - Bayern München
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.23
market consensus · line only
X
7.00
market consensus · line only
1
9.66
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.05
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
4.22
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.06
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.76
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.28
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 11.80 8.5% | |
| X | 7.36 13.6% |
| 1.22 82.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.70 10.3% | 10.50 9.5% | 11.90 8.4% | 11.00 9.1% | 12.00 8.3% | 11.00 9.1% | |
| X | 6.60 15.2% | 7.10 14.1% | 7.22 13.9% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.10 14.1% | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
| home_away | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_draw | 3.90 25.6% | 4.28 23.4% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.65 21.5% |
Match center
1. FC Köln
D
L
L
D
D
10.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
2:2
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
20.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
0:1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
13.12 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
06.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
1:1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
29.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
1:1
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
3
Points
Bayern München
W
W
D
W
W
11.01 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
8:1
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
21.12 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
4:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
14.12 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
2:2
Maynts
Maynts
06.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
5:0
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
29.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
3:1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - Bayern München
1. FC Köln
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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