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Bundesliga Germany

21.03.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

21.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football

1. FC Köln

3 : 3

Finished

Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - Borussia Monchengladbach March 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.36 / 2 3.09
1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 41.0% / X 28.3% / Borussia Monchengladbach 30.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 41.0%

X 28.3%

2 30.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 49.7%

Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Köln - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.08 market consensus · line only

X 3.37 market consensus · line only

1 2.31 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.61 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.57 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.10 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.20 45.5%
X	3.50 28.6%
	3.00 33.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.28 43.9%	2.29 43.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%
	3.05 32.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.10 47.6%	2.17 46.1%	2.07 48.3%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.04 49.0%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%