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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - FC Augsburg

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
1 : 1
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - FC Augsburg October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.93 / 2 3.79
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 50.1% / X 24.5% / FC Augsburg 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 50.1%
X 24.5%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 60.0%
Under 2.5 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.93 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.91 52.4%
X 3.93 25.5%
4.00 25.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2% 2.00 50.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.04 24.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.96 25.3% 3.93 25.5% 3.93 25.5%
3.85 26.0% 3.72 26.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.51 39.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.57 38.9% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
1. FC Köln
W L L D W
03.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
FC Augsburg
W L L L L
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:4 MayntsMaynts
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - FC Augsburg

1. FC Köln
0 matches total
FC Augsburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history